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~ similar to 2606.06384· 20 results

stat.MLcs.AIcs.LGRecentMay 28, 2026

Improved Distribution Estimation in $\ell_\infty$

Doron Cohen, Aryeh Kontorovich, Yonatan Livshitz

This paper improves the theoretical bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions using the $\ell_\infty$ norm, resolving several open questions in the field.

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math.STstat.MEstat.MLRecentJun 4, 2026

Optimally taming biases in black-box models for efficient semiparametric estimation

Yihong Gu, Qishuo Yin, Tianxi Cai, Jianqing Fan

The paper proposes a new, optimal estimator for semiparametric inference that improves upon standard double machine learning (DML) rates by eliminating the first-order stochastic error of nuisance fun…

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cs.LGcs.CRRecentMay 7, 2026

Trade-off Functions for DP-SGD with Subsampling based on Random Shuffling: Tight Upper and Lower Bounds

Marten van Dijk, Murat Bilgehan Ertan

The paper provides a tight, transparent, and closed-form analysis of the trade-off function for Differentially Private SGD using random shuffling, significantly improving upon previous methods and est…

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cs.LGcs.AIRecentMay 27, 2026

Learning Theory of the SVRG: Generalization and Convergence Analysis

Yunwen Lei, Zimeng Wang, Xiaoming Yuan

This paper provides the first non-vacuous generalization analysis for the Stochastic Variance Reduced Gradient (SVRG) method by establishing sharp, data-dependent algorithmic stability bounds, thereby…

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cs.NEmath.APmath.PRRecentJun 4, 2026

Quantifying Uncertainty In Wide Two-Layer Neural Networks: On The Law Of The Limiting Fluctuation Process

Arnaud Descours, Arnaud Guillin, Geoffrey Lacour, Manon Michel +2 more

This paper develops a novel, computationally efficient method to quantify the uncertainty in wide neural network predictions by characterizing the limiting random fluctuations using stochastic evoluti…

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cs.ITcs.AIcs.LGRecentMay 30, 2026

Information-Theoretic Lower Bounds for Bit-Constrained Stochastic Optimization via a Reduction to Compressed Gaussian Mean Estimation

Munsik Kim

The paper establishes information-theoretic lower bounds for stochastic optimization using low-bit gradients by reducing the problem to compressed Gaussian mean estimation, yielding sharp bounds on co…

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cs.CRRecentApr 26, 2026

Rényi Pufferfish Privacy with Gaussian-based Priors: From Single Gaussian to Mixture Model

Wenjin Yang, Ni Ding, Zijian Zhang, Zhen Li +4 more

This paper develops improved Gaussian mechanisms for Rényi Pufferfish Privacy (RPP) by incorporating Gaussian and Gaussian-mixture priors, significantly reducing the required noise and improving the p…

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cs.CRRecentMay 7, 2026

$α$-Wasserstein Mechanism for Rényi Pufferfish Privacy

Ni Ding, Wenjin Yang, Zijian Zhang

The paper introduces the $\alpha$-Wasserstein mechanism to achieve Rényi Pufferfish Privacy using Laplace and Gaussian noise, demonstrating that it generalizes existing privacy frameworks and reduces…

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math.STcs.CCcs.DSRecentMay 28, 2026

Low-degree estimation thresholds in planted hypergraphs and tensor PCA

Daniel Fu, Youngtak Sohn

The paper analyzes low-degree estimation thresholds for recovering hidden signals in planted hypergraphs and tensor PCA, establishing sharp phase transitions and providing polynomial-time recovery alg…

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cs.DScs.CRmath.NTRecentMay 17, 2026

Module Lattice Security (Part III): Structured CVP Distance on the Log-Unit Lattice

Ming-Xing Luo

The paper analyzes the structured CVP distance on the log-unit lattice of cyclotomic fields, significantly reducing the conjectured CDPR factor for the ML-KEM cryptosystem from exponential to sub-poly…

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stat.APcs.AIcs.LGRecentMay 30, 2026

Hybrid Probabilistic Forecasting of Under-Five Malaria Admissions in Ghana: A Gaussian Process Regression with Holt-Winters Smoothing

T. Ansah-Narh, Y. Asare Afrane, J. Bremang Tandoh

This study proposes a hybrid Gaussian Process Regression and Holt-Winters smoothing framework to accurately forecast under-five malaria admissions in Ghana, achieving high predictive accuracy and prov…

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math.STcs.LGmath.PREmpiricalRecentJun 4, 2026

How abundant are good interpolators?

August Y. Chen, Ahmed El Alaoui

This paper establishes a large deviation principle for the generalization error of interpolating classifiers in the overparametrized regime.

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math.STcs.LGmath.PREmpiricalRecentJun 4, 2026

How abundant are good interpolators?

August Y. Chen, Ahmed El Alaoui

This paper establishes a large deviation principle for the generalization error of interpolating classifiers in the overparametrized regime.

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cs.DScs.CRRecentMay 20, 2026

Near-Optimal Generalized Private Testing

Anamay Chaturvedi, Monika Henzinger, Jalaj Upadhyay

The paper introduces the Generalized Thresholding Mechanism (GTM) to solve the generalized private testing problem in differential privacy, achieving near-optimal accuracy and sample complexity guaran…

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cs.CRcs.PLRecentMay 28, 2026

A Bayesian Approach to Membership Inference for Statistical Release

Lisa Oakley, Sam Stites, Cameron Moy, Steven Holtzen +2 more

This paper proposes a Bayesian framework to enhance membership inference attacks against released statistics by incorporating prior knowledge about the population's attribute dependency structure, out…

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cs.IREmpiricalRecentJun 10, 2026

Tail-Aware Adaptive-k: Query-Adaptive Context Selection for Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Ziyu Song, Jiaming Fang, Kuangyu Li, Tuo Xia +1 more

This paper proposes Tail-Aware Adaptive-k (TAA-k), a training-free framework for adaptive context selection in retrieval-augmented generation systems using Extreme Value Theory.

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stat.MLcs.AIcs.LGRecentMay 29, 2026

Entropic Projection Alignment: Estimating, Explaining, and Improving Model Performance Under Distribution Shift

Salim I. Amoukou, Emanuele Albini, Tom Bewley, Saumitra Mishra +1 more

The paper introduces Entropic Projection Alignment (EPA), a unified framework that estimates, explains, and improves model performance under distribution shift by aligning source and target distributi…

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cs.LGcs.AIstat.MLRecentMay 30, 2026

A Practical Upper Bound on Selection Bias Effects in Medical Prediction Models

Kara Liu, Maggie Wang, Russ B. Altman

The paper proposes a novel, practical upper bound to estimate the worst-case performance of medical prediction models on the target population, even when the selection bias mechanism and target data a…

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cs.CRstat.APRecentMay 8, 2026

Combating Organized Platform Abuse: Amplifying Weak Risk Signals with Structural Information

Meng He, Jia Long Loh

The paper proposes a novel structural invariant approach, derived from the economic constraints of fraud, that amplifies weak, low-precision signals into highly accurate fraud detections without requi…

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q-fin.GNcs.CRRecentApr 30, 2026

The Satoshi Overhang: Why the Bear Case is Bounded

Karl T. Ulrich

The paper analyzes the potential market impact of a large, unknown Bitcoin holder (the Satoshi overhang) and concludes that the mechanical downside risk is bounded, suggesting the terminal states are…

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