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~ similar to 2607.01971· 19 results

stat.MEstat.MLEmpiricalRecentJun 27, 2026

Learning heterogeneous treatment effects under principal stratification

Jiaqi Tong, Fan Li

This paper proposes a method for identifying and estimating conditional principal causal effects with heterogeneity within strata under principal ignorability, using a novel doubly cross-fit doubly ro…

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math.STstat.MEstat.MLRecentJun 4, 2026

Optimally taming biases in black-box models for efficient semiparametric estimation

Yihong Gu, Qishuo Yin, Tianxi Cai, Jianqing Fan

The paper proposes a new, optimal estimator for semiparametric inference that improves upon standard double machine learning (DML) rates by eliminating the first-order stochastic error of nuisance fun…

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math.STcs.LGstat.METheoreticalRecentJul 20, 2026

Unveiling Invariant and Transferable Latent Factors Across Heterogeneous Environments via ATLAS

Yihong Gu, Katherine Liao, Tianxi Cai

This paper introduces ATLAS, a method for disentangling invariant and heterogeneous factors in multi-environment factor models, enabling transferable prediction and robust invariant-factor-only predic…

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cs.LGcs.AIstat.MLRecentMay 30, 2026

A Practical Upper Bound on Selection Bias Effects in Medical Prediction Models

Kara Liu, Maggie Wang, Russ B. Altman

The paper proposes a novel, practical upper bound to estimate the worst-case performance of medical prediction models on the target population, even when the selection bias mechanism and target data a…

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stat.MLcs.AIcs.DSRecentMay 28, 2026

Improved Guarantees for Heterogeneous Treatment-Effect Estimation via Matrix Completion

Anay Mehrotra, Phuc Tran, Van H. Vu, Manolis Zampetakis

The paper proposes a novel, computationally efficient estimator for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data by framing the problem as matrix completion and establishing a sharp row-wi…

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cs.LGstat.MEstat.MLTheoreticalRecentJul 9, 2026

Structure Learning on Clustered Data

Ryan Thompson, Matt P. Wand, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

This paper introduces a new approach for scalable causal discovery in directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) with clustered data and local cluster-level effects.

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stat.MLcs.LGEmpiricalRecentJul 22, 2026

Non--negative matrix factorization using the \textit{R} package \textsf{nnmf}

Volkan Sevinç, Nikolas Kontemeniotis, Theodoros Perdikis, Michail Tsagris

This paper introduces a new R package for Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) and compares its performance systematically with two other R packages using real-world data.

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stat.MEcs.AIRecentMay 31, 2026

Topological Ignorability for Structural Causal Effects Beyond Means

Usef Faghihi

This paper introduces topological-geometrical metrics to estimate structural causal effects that are missed by traditional mean-based methods, proposing a new concept called topological ignorability.

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stat.MLcs.LGstat.MEEmpiricalRecentJul 26, 2026

Distributional Split Criteria for Random Forests: Extensions, Shrinkage, and the Robustness of Mean Splitting

Silas Koemen

This paper introduces Distributional Random Forests, which replace mean-based CART splitting with criteria that compare full conditional response distributions in candidate children. The authors syste…

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math.STstat.MEstat.MLTheoreticalRecentJul 23, 2026

Optimal use of a black-box learner in semiparametric estimation

Yihong Gu

This paper proposes a novel estimator for the target linear coefficient in a partial linear model with black-box nuisance estimation and establishes its unimprovable error rate.

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stat.MLcs.CVcs.LGRecentJun 1, 2026

Bayesian meta-learning for modeling Alzheimer's disease progression

Clara Hoffmann, Nadja Klein

The paper proposes a Bayesian meta-learner to accurately predict the distribution of Alzheimer's disease progression scores for individuals, outperforming existing methods, especially for long-term pr…

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